Public Policy, Politics, and the Political Outlook for 2022 and Beyond
Please join us at our event on
Thursday, March 24, 2022 at 4:15 PM
As we approach the end of the first quarter of 2022, the U.S. economy has shown a strong rebound from pandemic-induced shutdowns and the weakened growth trajectory. The positive economic growth benefited from policy responses in the form of massive fiscal spending stimulus and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy accommodation despite the ongoing supply-and-demand imbalances reflected in the continued supply chain concerns.
Market volatility reflects heightened economic and geopolitical risks on the horizon. With the latest CPI print at a four-decade high, the Fed now looks to cool inflation with monetary tightening. However, the outbreak of war in Ukraine brings a significant degree of uncertainty for monetary policy, mainly through the war’s effects on commodity prices and supply disruptions.
As the Biden Administration enters its second year with the mid-term elections rapidly approaching, we have seen palpable and increased attention on policy and politics among investors and the markets. Some of the questions on top of investors’ mind are:
1. Do Republicans capture the majorities in Congress and how would that affect policy environment?
2. If “normal” life resumes in 2022, how much credit does President Biden get for it? Is Biden going to run for president again?
3. At his State of the Union address, President Biden urged Congress to confirm his five nominees for the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. What are the chances these nominations advance past the Republican opposition and their impact on the Fed’s monetary policy and financial regulation?
4. What are current inflation expectations, and what policy options are under consideration by the Biden Administration or more likely the Fed? If the Fed moves too slowly in the face of geopolitical uncertainty, it potentially risks more persistent inflation and inflationary expectations. On the other hand, more aggressive monetary tightening could lead to stagflation or the pull forward of recession risk.
5. DOJ and FTC are planning a major overhaul of the guidelines on mergers with a focus on how mergers can increase anti-competitive conditions. Will this lead to an escalating antitrust scrutiny and greater regulatory burden?
6. Will the Democrats be able to eliminate or weaken the filibuster?
7. What legislation, if any, can Democrats get done in Congress?
We are fortunate to have highly respected industry experts to walk us through the ever-evolving conditions with a focus on the effects of public policy. Raj Date is the Managing Partner of Fenway Summer LLC, Mick Mulvaney is the Co-Chair of Actum LLC and previously was White House Chief-of-Staff, the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), and an Acting Director of CFPB. The panel will be moderated by Isaac Boltansky, who has effectively led WAMM’s annual policy and markets panels for several years. He currently serves as a Managing Director and Director of Policy Research at BTIG.
Please note that the Chatham House Rule applies – neither the comments of the speaker nor those of other participants are for attribution.
Please register by 5:00 PM ET on Wednesday, March 23, 2022 below.
Note that there is a limit to the number of participants. Please register early!
Conference call details will be provided prior to the call on Thursday, March 24, 2022.